2026 Week 5 · Oct 11, 2026 · Medium
49ers at Seahawks final drive: call the plays
Field goal ties · TD wins
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The situation
Seattle Seahawks down 3 (29–32), 1:51 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 15. You are the play-caller for this 49ers at Seahawks final drive.
- Score
- Seahawks 29, 49ers 32
- Clock
- 1:51, Q4
- Ball
- 1st & 10, own 15
- Timeouts
- 2 left (defense 2)
- Difficulty
- Medium
- Typical win rate
- 22%
The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Mike Macdonald; the defense was coached by Kyle Shanahan.
What really happened on this drive
Play the drive first: the real calls are below.
Show the real play-by-play (5 plays)
The Seahawks turned it over on downs. Final score: Seahawks 29, 49ers 32, a loss for Seahawks.
- 1st & 10 at the own 15, 1:51 · Deep sideline (best call)
14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to 50 for 35 yards (53-J.Dugger). - 1st & 10 at the midfield, 1:13 · Quick out (close)
14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba (0-R.Green). - 2nd & 10 at the midfield, 1:09 · Quick out (costly)
14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 88-A.Barner [54-F.Warner]. - 3rd & 10 at the midfield, 1:00 · Deep sideline (best call)
14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba. - 4th & 10 at the midfield, 0:54 · Quick out (big mistake)
14-S.Darnold pass short left to 10-C.Kupp pushed ob at SF 41 for 9 yards (6-M.Mustapha). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field
By our grades, Mike Macdonald made the best or a near-best call (green) on 2 of 5 graded snaps and gave up 3.4 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.
How this final drive is graded
Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.
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Call this drive