Daily drive #1 · 2026 Week 6 · Oct 15, 2026 · Medium
Seahawks at Broncos final drive: call the plays
Field goal ties · TD wins
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The situation
Seattle Seahawks down 3 (11–14), 0:57 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 46. You are the play-caller for this Seahawks at Broncos final drive.
- Score
- Seahawks 11, Broncos 14
- Clock
- 0:57, Q4
- Ball
- 1st & 10, own 46
- Timeouts
- 1 left (defense 3)
- Difficulty
- Medium
- Typical win rate
- 30%
The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Mike Macdonald; the defense was coached by Sean Payton.
What really happened on this drive
Play the drive first: the real calls are below.
Show the real play-by-play (8 plays)
The Seahawks kicked a field goal. Final score: Seahawks 14, Broncos 17, a loss for Seahawks.
- 1st & 10 at the own 46, 0:57 · Quick out (close)
14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left to 10-C.Kupp. - 2nd & 10 at the own 46, 0:52 · Quick out (costly)
14-S.Darnold pass short left to 88-A.Barner to 50 for 4 yards (26-D.Key) [49-A.Singleton]. - 3rd & 6 at the midfield, 0:41 · Quick out (costly)
14-S.Darnold pass short right to 22-R.Shaheed to DEN 40 for 10 yards (31-K.Abrams-Draine). - 1st & 10 at the opp 40, 0:26 · Spike
14-S.Darnold spiked the ball to stop the clock. - 2nd & 10 at the opp 40, 0:25 · Short middle (best call)
14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 10-C.Kupp to DEN 23 for 17 yards (29-J.McMillian). - 1st & 10 at the opp 23, 0:11 · Spike
14-S.Darnold spiked the ball to stop the clock. - 2nd & 10 at the opp 23, 0:10 · Quick out (big mistake)
14-S.Darnold pass short right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba ran ob at DEN 16 for 7 yards. - 3rd & 3 at the opp 16, 0:07 · Field goal (big mistake)
5-J.Myers 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
By our grades, Mike Macdonald made the best or a near-best call (green) on 1 of 6 graded snaps and gave up 7.8 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.
How this final drive is graded
Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.