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Daily Play Call

2026 Week 3 · Sep 27, 2026 · Hard

Jets at Lions final drive: call the plays

NYJ24
2:194th
31DET
1st & 10Ball on own 31
NYJDET101020203030404050504040303020201010

Touchdown, then two to tie

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The situation

New York Jets down 7 (24–31), 2:19 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 31. You are the play-caller for this Jets at Lions final drive.

Score
Jets 24, Lions 31
Clock
2:19, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 31
Timeouts
1 left (defense 3)
Difficulty
Hard
Typical win rate
13%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Aaron Glenn; the defense was coached by Dan Campbell.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (8 plays)

The Jets turned it over. Final score: Jets 24, Lions 31, a loss for Jets.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 31, 2:19 · Short middle (best call)
    7-G.Smith pass short middle to 16-K.Sadiq to NYJ 46 for 15 yards (55-D.Barnes; 21-R.McCreary).
  2. 1st & 10 at the own 46, 2:00 · Quick out (close)
    7-G.Smith pass short left to 0-B.Allen pushed ob at NYJ 46 for no gain (53-T.Nowaske).
  3. 2nd & 10 at the own 46, 1:54 · Quick out (close)
    7-G.Smith pass short right to 16-K.Sadiq pushed ob at DET 47 for 7 yards (4-D.Reed).
  4. 3rd & 3 at the opp 47, 1:45 · Short middle (best call)
    7-G.Smith pass short middle to 5-G.Wilson to DET 40 for 7 yards (21-R.McCreary).
  5. 1st & 10 at the opp 40, 1:21 · Quick out (close)
    7-G.Smith pass short left to 0-B.Allen to DET 33 for 7 yards (55-D.Barnes).
  6. 2nd & 3 at the opp 33, 1:01 · Quick out (best call)
    7-G.Smith pass short left to 89-J.Ruckert pushed ob at DET 28 for 5 yards (5-C.Izien).
  7. 1st & 10 at the opp 28, 0:56 · Quick out (close)
    7-G.Smith pass incomplete short left to 5-G.Wilson. NYJ-5-G.Wilson was injured during the play.
  8. 2nd & 10 at the opp 28, 0:51 · Quick out (close)
    7-G.Smith sacked at DET 41 for -13 yards (36-C.Clark). FUMBLES (36-C.Clark) [36-C.Clark], RECOVERED by DET-46-J.Campbell at DET 45. 46-J.Campbell to NYJ 43 for 12 yards (0-B.Allen).

By our grades, Aaron Glenn made the best or a near-best call (green) on 3 of 8 graded snaps and gave up 1.8 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

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