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Daily Play Call

2026 Week 4 · Oct 4, 2026 · Hard

Chiefs at Raiders final drive: call the plays

LV27
1:164th
30KC
1st & 10Ball on own 1
LVKC101020203030404050504040303020201010

Field goal ties · TD wins

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The situation

Las Vegas Raiders down 3 (27–30), 1:16 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 1. You are the play-caller for this Chiefs at Raiders final drive.

Score
Raiders 27, Chiefs 30
Clock
1:16, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 1
Timeouts
0 left (defense 3)
Difficulty
Hard
Typical win rate
7%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Klint Kubliak; the defense was coached by Andy Reid.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (11 plays)

The Raiders turned it over. Final score: Raiders 27, Chiefs 30, a loss for Raiders.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 1, 1:16 · Quick out (costly)
    8-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-T.Tucker pushed ob at LV 9 for 8 yards (20-N.Williams).
  2. 2nd & 2 at the own 9, 1:11 · Deep sideline (best call)
    8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to 1-T.Tucker (20-N.Williams).
  3. 3rd & 6 at the own 5, 1:05 · Quick out (close)
    8-K.Cousins pass short left to 87-M.Mayer to LV 16 for 11 yards (32-N.Bolton).
  4. 1st & 10 at the own 16, 0:48 · Spike
    8-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock.
  5. 2nd & 10 at the own 16, 0:47 · Deep sideline (best call)
    8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 82-C.White [56-G.Karlaftis].
  6. 3rd & 10 at the own 16, 0:43 · Short middle (costly)
    8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 82-C.White to LV 23 for 7 yards (5-M.Delane). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete sho
  7. 4th & 10 at the own 16, 0:37 · Quick out (costly)
    8-K.Cousins pass short right to 2-A.Jeanty ran ob at LV 28 for 12 yards (20-N.Williams; 38-L.Sneed).
  8. 1st & 10 at the own 28, 0:31 · Deep middle (close)
    8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-T.Tucker.
  9. 2nd & 10 at the own 28, 0:25 · Deep middle (close)
    8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 1-T.Tucker to KC 49 for 23 yards (27-C.Conner).
  10. 1st & 10 at the opp 49, 0:11 · Spike
    8-K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock.
  11. 2nd & 10 at the opp 49, 0:10 · Quick out (close)
    8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 87-M.Mayer INTERCEPTED by 29-X.Nwankpa (56-G.Karlaftis) [56-G.Karlaftis] at KC 36. 29-X.Nwankpa to KC 39 for 3 yards (82-C.White). Penalty on LV-2-A.Jeanty, Illega

By our grades, Klint Kubliak made the best or a near-best call (green) on 2 of 9 graded snaps and gave up 2.7 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

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