2026 Week 4 · Oct 4, 2026 · Hard
Jaguars at Bengals final drive: call the plays
You need a touchdown
You’re the play-caller. Tap a play to snap it.
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The situation
Cincinnati Bengals down 5 (17–22), 1:44 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 17. You are the play-caller for this Jaguars at Bengals final drive.
- Score
- Bengals 17, Jaguars 22
- Clock
- 1:44, Q4
- Ball
- 1st & 10, own 17
- Timeouts
- 0 left (defense 2)
- Difficulty
- Hard
- Typical win rate
- 10%
The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Zac Taylor; the defense was coached by Liam Coen.
What really happened on this drive
Play the drive first: the real calls are below.
Show the real play-by-play (7 plays)
The Bengals turned it over on downs. Final score: Bengals 17, Jaguars 22, a loss for Bengals.
- 1st & 10 at the own 17, 1:44 · Deep sideline (best call)
9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 82-M.Tinsley ran ob at CIN 46 for 29 yards. - 1st & 10 at the own 46, 1:38 · Deep sideline (best call)
9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 88-M.Gesicki ran ob at JAX 36 for 18 yards [41-J.Hines-Allen]. - 1st & 10 at the opp 36, 1:32 · Deep sideline (close)
9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 81-D.Meyers to JAX 21 for 15 yards (50-B.Combs). - 1st & 10 at the opp 21, 1:08 · Quick out (costly)
9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short right to 81-D.Meyers. - 2nd & 10 at the opp 21, 1:05 · Deep sideline (best call)
9-J.Burrow pass incomplete deep left to 88-M.Gesicki. - 3rd & 10 at the opp 21, 1:01 · Deep sideline (best call)
9-J.Burrow pass incomplete deep right to 82-M.Tinsley [41-J.Hines-Allen]. - 4th & 10 at the opp 21, 0:56 · Short middle (big mistake)
9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 30-C.Brown to JAX 12 for 9 yards (25-R.Lane).
By our grades, Zac Taylor made the best or a near-best call (green) on 4 of 7 graded snaps and gave up 2.4 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.
How this final drive is graded
Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.
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