2026 Week 3 · Sep 27, 2026 · Hard
Panthers at Browns final drive: call the plays
Field goal ties · TD wins
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The situation
Carolina Panthers down 3 (18–21), 1:01 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 17. You are the play-caller for this Panthers at Browns final drive.
- Score
- Panthers 18, Browns 21
- Clock
- 1:01, Q4
- Ball
- 1st & 10, own 17
- Timeouts
- 0 left (defense 3)
- Difficulty
- Hard
- Typical win rate
- 10%
The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Dave Canales; the defense was coached by Todd Monken.
What really happened on this drive
Play the drive first: the real calls are below.
Show the real play-by-play (6 plays)
The Panthers turned it over. Final score: Panthers 18, Browns 21, a loss for Panthers.
- 1st & 10 at the own 17, 1:01 · Quick out (costly)
9-B.Young pass short left to 88-D.Waller to CAR 28 for 11 yards (26-M.Harden). - 1st & 10 at the own 28, 0:41 · Quick out (costly)
9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 88-D.Waller. - 2nd & 16 at the own 22, 0:37 · Deep middle (best call)
9-B.Young pass deep middle to 87-B.Tremayne to CAR 42 for 20 yards (49-C.Schwesinger) [96-M.Collins]. - 1st & 10 at the own 42, 0:22 · Spike
9-B.Young spiked the ball to stop the clock. - 2nd & 10 at the own 42, 0:21 · Deep middle (close)
9-B.Young pass incomplete deep middle to 83-D.Moore [97-D.Barnett]. - 3rd & 10 at the own 42, 0:16 · Quick out (costly)
9-B.Young pass short left intended for 88-D.Waller INTERCEPTED by 33-R.Hickman (97-D.Barnett) at CLE 46. 33-R.Hickman to CLE 44 for -2 yards (83-D.Moore).
By our grades, Dave Canales made the best or a near-best call (green) on 1 of 5 graded snaps and gave up 3.4 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.
How this final drive is graded
Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.
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