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2026 Week 3 · Sep 27, 2026 · Medium

Panthers at Browns final drive: call the plays

CAR18
1:444th
21CLE
1st & 10Ball on own 22
CARCLE101020203030404050504040303020201010

Field goal ties · TD wins

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The situation

Carolina Panthers down 3 (18–21), 1:44 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 22. You are the play-caller for this Panthers at Browns final drive.

Score
Panthers 18, Browns 21
Clock
1:44, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 22
Timeouts
3 left (defense 3)
Difficulty
Medium
Typical win rate
25%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Dave Canales; the defense was coached by Todd Monken.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (4 plays)

The Panthers turned it over on downs. Final score: Panthers 18, Browns 21, a loss for Panthers.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 22, 1:44 · Quick out (close)
    9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 13-J.Metchie (21-D.Ward). ** Injury Update: CAR-68-D.Lewis has returned to the game.
  2. 2nd & 10 at the own 22, 1:40 · Quick out (costly)
    9-B.Young pass short right to 30-C.Hubbard pushed ob at CAR 22 for no gain (5-Q.Williams).
  3. 3rd & 10 at the own 22, 1:34 · Quick out (costly)
    9-B.Young sacked at CAR 16 for -6 yards (94-M.Graham).
  4. 4th & 16 at the own 16, 1:27 · Quick out (big mistake)
    9-B.Young pass short left to 88-D.Waller to CAR 24 for 8 yards (26-M.Harden; 49-C.Schwesinger).

By our grades, Dave Canales made the best or a near-best call (green) on 0 of 4 graded snaps and gave up 5.0 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

More final drives from 2026 Week 3

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