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2026 Week 3 · Sep 27, 2026 · Medium

Ravens at Cowboys final drive: call the plays

DAL28
1:304th
31BAL
1st & 10Ball on own 35
DALBAL101020203030404050504040303020201010

Field goal ties · TD wins

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The situation

Dallas Cowboys down 3 (28–31), 1:30 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 35. You are the play-caller for this Ravens at Cowboys final drive.

Score
Cowboys 28, Ravens 31
Clock
1:30, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 35
Timeouts
1 left (defense 2)
Difficulty
Medium
Typical win rate
27%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Brian Schottenheimer; the defense was coached by Jesse Minter.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (9 plays)

The Cowboys kicked a field goal. Final score: Cowboys 31, Ravens 34, a loss for Cowboys.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 35, 1:30 · Quick out (costly)
    4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at DAL 48 for 13 yards (21-J.Hawkins).
  2. 1st & 10 at the own 48, 1:24 · Quick out (costly)
    4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 3-G.Pickens.
  3. 2nd & 10 at the own 48, 1:20 · Screen (costly)
    4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 38 for 14 yards (24-M.Starks).
  4. 1st & 10 at the opp 38, 1:14 · Quick out (best call)
    4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at BAL 29 for 9 yards (29-C.Rivers) [91-T.Hendrickson].
  5. 2nd & 1 at the opp 29, 1:09 · Inside run (best call)
    4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 22 for 7 yards (24-M.Starks).
  6. 1st & Goal at the opp 2, 0:23 · Quick out (best call)
    4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens (2-N.Wiggins).
  7. 2nd & Goal at the opp 7, 0:20 · Inside run (big mistake)
    4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to BAL 5 for 2 yards (0-R.Smith). DAL-78-T.Steele was injured during the play.
  8. 3rd & Goal at the opp 5, 0:14 · Quick out (big mistake)
    4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens.
  9. 4th & Goal at the opp 5, 0:10 · Field goal (best call)
    17-B.Aubrey 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

By our grades, Brian Schottenheimer made the best or a near-best call (green) on 4 of 9 graded snaps and gave up 4.9 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

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